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Grantee Research Project Results

2011 Progress Report: Regional Air Quality Management Aspects of Global Change: Impact of Climate-ResponsiveControls and Forest Management Practices on Regional Air Quality and Associated Uncertainties

EPA Grant Number: R834281
Title: Regional Air Quality Management Aspects of Global Change: Impact of Climate-ResponsiveControls and Forest Management Practices on Regional Air Quality and Associated Uncertainties
Investigators: Russell, Armistead G. , Bergin, Michelle S. , Wang, Y. T. , Nenes, Athanasios , Rudokas, Jason
Current Investigators: Russell, Armistead G. , Bergin, Michelle S. , Wang, Y. T. , Tsimpidi, A.P. , Nenes, Athanasios , Tian, D. , Klieman, G. , Yang, H. , Rudokas, J. , Fahey, K. , Tsigaridis, K. , Trail, M. , Liu, P. , Amar, Praveen , Hu, Y.T.
Institution: Georgia Institute of Technology , NESCAUM
Current Institution: Georgia Environmental Protection Division , Georgia Institute of Technology , NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies , NESCAUM
EPA Project Officer: Chung, Serena
Project Period: October 1, 2009 through September 30, 2012 (Extended to September 30, 2013)
Project Period Covered by this Report: October 1, 2010 through September 30,2011
Project Amount: $599,963
RFA: Adaptation for Future Air Quality Analysis and Decision Support Tools in Light of Global Change Impacts and Mitigation (2008) RFA Text |  Recipients Lists
Research Category: Air Quality and Air Toxics , Air , Climate Change

Objective:

 

This project has four primary objectives:

•         Assess and compare how climate-responsive control choices will impact air quality

•         Assess how forest management practices, including biomass fuel production will impact future air quality

•         Quantify the sensitivities and uncertainties in results

•         Provide decision support analyses for use by ai quality decision-makers

Progress Summary:

 

2nd Year:  As noted in the prior progress report, one of the main activities of year 1 was to develop and test the spectral downscaling approach to be used with WRF.  This was completed, and written up as a journal submission (Liu et al., 2011, below), which is currently under discussion/review.  A major activity this year has been to apply that approach to GISS Model E results obtained from colleagues at GISS.  A number of new routines were developed to interface the GISS outputs and the WRF model.  This is now done, and we are in the process of downscaling the GISS historical and future year simulations.  Our investigations of the results of the test downscaling approaches are being written up in another manuscript. MARKAL modeling of climate strategy impacts on air quality-relevant emissions has begun, and the specific simulations to be more fully tested using the WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ system are being decided.  (Recall, many more MARKAL runs are conducted than can be simulated using the detailed air quality system.)  We have also begun simulating the impact of forest changes that might results from greater use of forest products for production of cellulosic fuels.   Our initial simulations show a small dependency of temperature on the change of land use from field crops to managed forest.

Future Activities:

 

The focus of our activities over the coming year are:

  • Continue preparing meteorological fields for the current years (2008-2010) and future (2049-2051) by downscaling GISS Model E output using WRF, with the downscaling configuration we have tested.
  • Finish conducting MARKAL modeling of strategies or technologies to mitigate climate change that also impact ozone and PM-related emission and process strategies using SMOKE.
  • Finalize future biomass burning scenarios.

 

We will be using a variety of computational resources (servers, disk arrays).  The programs to be used include WRF/SMOKE/CMAQ.


Journal Articles on this Report : 1 Displayed | Download in RIS Format

Publications Views
Other project views: All 14 publications 5 publications in selected types All 5 journal articles
Publications
Type Citation Project Document Sources
Journal Article Liu P, Tsimpidi AP, Hu Y, Stone B, Russell AG, Nenes A. Differences between downscaling with spectral and grid nudging using WRF. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 2012;12(8):3601-3610. R834281 (2011)
R834281 (2012)
R834281 (Final)
  • Full-text: ACP-Full text PDF
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  • Abstract: ACP-Abstract
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  • Supplemental Keywords:

    air quality, climate policy, downscale, nudging, RFA, Air, Scientific Discipline, POLLUTION PREVENTION, Atmosphere, Air Pollution Effects, climate change, Environmental Monitoring, Energy, air quality, Global Climate Change, particulate matter, forests, ecosystem sustainability, deforestation, energy efficiency, land use, atmospheric nitrogen, decision making

    Progress and Final Reports:

    Original Abstract
  • 2009 Progress Report
  • 2010 Progress Report
  • 2012 Progress Report
  • Final Report
  • Top of Page

    The perspectives, information and conclusions conveyed in research project abstracts, progress reports, final reports, journal abstracts and journal publications convey the viewpoints of the principal investigator and may not represent the views and policies of ORD and EPA. Conclusions drawn by the principal investigators have not been reviewed by the Agency.

    Project Research Results

    • Final Report
    • 2012 Progress Report
    • 2010 Progress Report
    • 2009 Progress Report
    • Original Abstract
    14 publications for this project
    5 journal articles for this project

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