Grantee Research Project Results

2004 Progress Report: An Integrated Framework for Estimating Long-Term Mobile Source Emissions Linking Land Use, Transportation and Economic Behavior

EPA Grant Number: R831450
Title: An Integrated Framework for Estimating Long-Term Mobile Source Emissions Linking Land Use, Transportation and Economic Behavior
Investigators: Harrington, Winston , Safirova, Elena , Shih, Jhih-Shyang , Nelson, Peter
Institution: Resources for the Future
EPA Project Officer: Chung, Serena
Project Period: January 1, 2004 through July 31, 2007
Project Period Covered by this Report: January 1, 2004 through December 31,2004
Project Amount: $749,080
RFA: Consequences of Global Change for Air Quality: Spatial Patterns in Air Pollution Emissions (2003) RFA Text | Recipients Lists
Research Category: Air , Climate Change

Objective:

The objectives of this research project are to develop a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of an urban economy that links land use, transportation, and other economic decisions at the firm and household levels and to use this model to project mobile source emissions over a 50-year time horizon under a variety of economic and technological assumptions.

Progress Summary:

During Year 1 of the project, we accomplished the following tasks:

Conceptual development of Real Estate and Land Use-Vehicle Choice Model (RELU-VCM), an integration of the vehicle choice decision into the CGE model of the urban economy. The Washington DC Strategic and Regional Transport (START) transportation model will determine the characteristics, magnitude, location, and cost of transportation implied by the household utility functions.
Development of a set of household types based on the number of workers, nonworking adults, and children. These types become the agents in the integrated model.
Successful compilation and execution of START from the Fortran source code. (Previously, we were using an executable to run the program. A source code version gives us full control over the contents of the model and is essential for integration with RELU-VCM.)
Recalibration of the START transportation model for the year 2000.

The following two tasks are in progress: (1) data collection and calibration of the combined RELU-VCM model and (2) integration of RELU-VCM and START.

Future Activities:

We will: (1) calibrate RELU-VCM and integrate START; (2) enhance START, including the addition of park-and-ride capability for rail transit, facilitation of transit capacity expansions, and semiautomated expansion of road capacity in response to population and demographic changes; (3) identify/develop a suitable emission factor model; (4) integrate the RELU-START activity model with the emission factor model; (5) perform sensitivity analysis of the integrated framework; and (6) prepare inputs for the air-quality simulation model.

Journal Articles on this Report : 1 Displayed | Download in RIS Format

Publications Views
Other project views:	All 39 publications	5 publications in selected types	All 4 journal articles

Publications
Type	Citation	Project	Document Sources
Journal Article	Safirova E, Gillingham K, Harrington W, Nelson P, Lipman A. Choosing congestion pricing policy. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 2005;1932:169-177.	R831450 (2004) R831450 (Final)	Abstract: TRB Abstract Exit

Supplemental Keywords:

air, air quality, analytical, behavioral models, CGE modeling, clean technologies, consumer behavior, cost-benefit analysis, decision-making, economic behavior, economics, emissions, environmental regulation, future emissions, general equilibrium, global change, greenhouse gas, greenhouse gases, housing location, industrial location, infrastructure, land use, land use modeling, land use policies, long run, long-run effects, long term, long-term impact, long-term effects, mobile source, mobile sources, modeling, nitrogen oxides, ozone, particulate matter, particulates, preferences, public policy, residential location, sensitivity analysis, social science, socioeconomic, technological change, traffic congestion, transportation, transportation infrastructure, transportation modeling, travel demand, travel pattern, uncertainty, urban development, vehicle emissions, vehicle miles traveled, vehicle ownership, VMT, VOC, Mid-Atlantic, Maryland, MD, Virginia, VA, District of Columbia, DC, EPA Region 3, air pollution effects, atmosphere, environmental chemistry, environmental monitoring, climate change, mobile sources, global climate change, air quality models, emissions measurement, engine exhaust, human activities, land use, motor vehicle emissions., RFA, Air, Scientific Discipline, Ecological Risk Assessment, Air Quality, Atmosphere, mobile sources, Environmental Chemistry, Air Pollution Effects, climate change, Environmental Monitoring, vehicle emissions, Global Climate Change, engine exhaust, motor vehicle emissions, human activities, air quality models, land use

Relevant Websites:

none.

Progress and Final Reports:

Original Abstract

The perspectives, information and conclusions conveyed in research project abstracts, progress reports, final reports, journal abstracts and journal publications convey the viewpoints of the principal investigator and may not represent the views and policies of ORD and EPA. Conclusions drawn by the principal investigators have not been reviewed by the Agency.