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Grantee Research Project Results

2004 Progress Report: A Watershed Classification System for Improved Monitoring and Restoration: Landscape Indicators of Watershed Impairment

EPA Grant Number: R831369
Title: A Watershed Classification System for Improved Monitoring and Restoration: Landscape Indicators of Watershed Impairment
Investigators: Prince, Stephen D. , Weller, Donald E. , Jordan, Thomas E. , Goetz, Scott J.
Institution: Chesapeake Research Consortium , Smithsonian Environmental Research Center , Woods Hole Research Center
Current Institution: University of Maryland - College Park , Smithsonian Environmental Research Center , Woods Hole Research Center
EPA Project Officer: Packard, Benjamin H
Project Period: February 1, 2004 through January 31, 2007
Project Period Covered by this Report: February 1, 2004 through January 31,2005
Project Amount: $896,497
RFA: Development of Watershed Classification Systems for Diagnosis of Biological Impairment in Watersheds and Their Receiving Water Bodies (2003) RFA Text |  Recipients Lists
Research Category: Watersheds , Water

Objective:

The objectives of this research project are to:  (1) develop a watershed classification scheme based on recent, much improved, comprehensive watershed datasets to diagnose aquatic ecosystem impairment and to target resource management; (2) use hydrologic metrics, nutrient budgets incorporating point and nonpoint source/sinks, and landscape function metrics to provide indicators of aquatic ecosystem condition (hydrology, plant, fish, macroinvertebrates, and water quality) in reference watersheds; (3) identify the watershed variables most relevant to prediction of impairment of the receiving water bodies by developing a set of empirical classification models for multiple scales; and (4) develop classifications for Mid-Atlantic training watersheds, test them in the Mid-Atlantic, apply the entire methodology in southern New England (MA, RI, CT), and to generalize the methods for future national application.

Approach:

We will quantify aquatic health using flow metrics, water quality metrics (such as sediment and nutrient concentrations), and biological indicators. We have developed land use, land cover, other geospatial variables related to watershed function, anthropogenic influences, and landscape metrics from multitemporal Landsat ETM+ data. The relationships between watershed attributes, flow and water quality, and biological indicators will be formalized as statistical models with associated significance and confidence metrics for each scale. The sensitivity of ecological response variables to natural and anthropogenic variations in watershed properties will be assessed. The models will be used to develop hierarchical decision trees that specify a set of binary splits leading to a finite set of impairment categories. The rules will be tested and errors in the independent variables (e.g., land cover misclassification) will be quantified to measure classification accuracy. The definition of impairment categories, derivation of decision rules, and assessment will be undertaken with the help of representative managers.

Progress Summary:

Mapping Impervious Surfaces and Tree Cover
 
Within the entire 168,000 km2 Chesapeake watershed, between 1990 and 2000, we observed a 61 percent increase in developed land (from 5,177 to 8,363 square kilometers).  Most of this new development (64%) occurred on agricultural and grasslands, whereas 33 percent occurred on forested land.
 
Septic System Distribution and Density
 
Septic system density was a significant predictor of nitrate concentration in streams.  Inclusion of septic system density also significantly improved predictions when added to models based on land cover only.
 

Statistical Analyses
 
Watershed land cover is widely used as a predictor of stream-ecosystem condition; however, we have shown that spatial factors can confound the interpretation of correlative analyses between land cover and stream indicators, particularly at broad spatial scales.  Greater emphasis should be placed on spatial considerations, otherwise the relationships between watershed land cover and the condition of stream ecosystems can be obscured.
 
Land Cover Classification
 
The 2000 three-season Landsat map of the entire Chesapeake Bay watershed (approximately 200,000 km2 with intersecting counties) has been completed and tested.

Expected Results:

As a result of the much-improved landscape data inputs and the use of metrics of watershed function, we expect to be able to predict watershed impairment and trends toward impairment. The hierarchical structure of the classification, with explicit decision rules, will be accessible to managers. The classifications will diagnose impairment of watersheds, assess ecosystem vulnerability, and provide for monitoring and prioritization for restoration activities, all at multiple scales. The methods will be tested with resource managers in two EPA regions (1 and 3), providing an assessment in a wide variety of physical, biological and anthropogenic conditions.

Future Activities:

The data infrastructure and content needed for the classification of watersheds will be completed.  Models will be further developed to relate key variables, groups of variables, and complex indicators to watershed health, based on stream N and P and biota.  Chesapeake Bay Watershed SLEUTH.


Journal Articles on this Report : 1 Displayed | Download in RIS Format

Publications Views
Other project views: All 70 publications 19 publications in selected types All 15 journal articles
Publications
Type Citation Project Document Sources
Journal Article Jantz P, Goetz S, Jantz C. Urbanization and the loss of resource lands in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Environmental Management 2005;36(6):808-825. R831369 (2004)
  • Abstract from PubMed
  • Full-text: SpringerLink Full Text
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  • Other: SpringerLink PDF
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  • Supplemental Keywords:

    USGS MRLC NLCD, integrated assessment, remote sensing, geospatial technology, Chesapeake Bay, watersheds, aquatic ecosystems, environmental stress, land use, environmental monitoring, USGS MRLC NLCD, integrated assessment, remote sensing, geospatial technology, Chesapeake Bay,, RFA, Ecosystem Protection/Environmental Exposure & Risk, Scientific Discipline, Water, Ecological Risk Assessment, Watersheds, Monitoring/Modeling, Hydrology, Water & Watershed, Ecology and Ecosystems, Environmental Monitoring, water quality, aquatic ecosystem, water monitoring, environmental stress, land use, hydrologic modeling, watershed classification, aquatic ecosystems, continuous monitoring, ecosystem restoration, land management

    Relevant Websites:

    http://www.geog.umd.edu/resac/ Exit
    http://www.whrc.org/midatlantic/index.htm Exit
    http://www.serc.si.edu/labs/ecological_modeling/landuse_discharge.jsp Exit

    Progress and Final Reports:

    Original Abstract
  • 2005 Progress Report
  • Final Report
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    The perspectives, information and conclusions conveyed in research project abstracts, progress reports, final reports, journal abstracts and journal publications convey the viewpoints of the principal investigator and may not represent the views and policies of ORD and EPA. Conclusions drawn by the principal investigators have not been reviewed by the Agency.

    Project Research Results

    • Final Report
    • 2005 Progress Report
    • Original Abstract
    70 publications for this project
    15 journal articles for this project

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