Abstract |
The report describes the development of and basis for the improved fuel choice decision logic used in Version 6.0 of the Industrial Combustion Emissions (ICE) Model, one of four stationary source emission and control cost forecasting models developed by the EPA for the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP). The ICE Model projects air pollution emissions (sulfur dioxide, sulfates, nitrogen oxides, and particulate matter), costs, and fuel mix for industrial fossil-fuel-fired (natural gas, distillate and residual fuel oil, and coal) boilers by state and year (1980 baseline, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2010, 2020, and 2030). The ICE Model was originally developed from the Industrial Fuel Choice Analysis Model (IFCAM), which relies on a life-cycle cost-of-fuel logic. The report describes the development of an updated forecast model (i.e., ICE) which relies on a broader range of factors shown to be relevant to the industrial boiler fuel choice decision. |