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Grantee Research Project Results

Publications Details for Grant Number R835205

Extreme Air Quality Events Using a Hierarchy of Models: Present and Future

RFA: Extreme Event Impacts on Air Quality and Water Quality with a Changing Global Climate (2011)

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Dissertation/Thesis (1)
Journal Article (12)
Presentation (11)
Reference Type Reference Title Journal Author Citation Progress Report Year Document Sources
Dissertation/Thesis Extreme behavior of the surface ozone over the continental U.S. None Phalitnonkiat P Phalitnonkiat P. Extreme behavior of the surface ozone over the continental U.S. Ph.D. Dissertation. Department of Applied Mathematics, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, January 30, 2017. R835205 (Final)
  • Abstract: Cornell University-Abstract
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Journal Article Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: understanding performance improvements from model-error representations. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW Berner J, Fossell KR, Ha S-Y, Hacker JP, Snyder C Berner J, Fossell KR, Ha S-Y, Hacker JP, Snyder C. Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: understanding performance improvements from model-error representations. Monthly Weather Review 2015;143(4):1295-1320. R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: AMS-Full Text PDF
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  • Abstract: AMS-Abstract
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Journal Article On the Dynamical Mechanisms Governing El Nino-Southern Oscillation Irregularity JOURNAL OF CLIMATE Berner J, Sardeshmukh P, Christensen H Berner J, Sardeshmukh P, Christensen H. On the Dynamical Mechanisms Governing El Nino-Southern Oscillation Irregularity. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 2018;31(20):8401-8419. R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: AMS Journals - FulL Text HTML
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Journal Article On the capabilities and limitations of GCCM simulations of summertime regional air quality: a diagnostic analysis of ozone and temperature simulations in the US using CESM CAM-Chem. ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT Brown-Steiner B, Hess PG, Lin MY Brown-Steiner B, Hess PG, Lin MY. On the capabilities and limitations of GCCM simulations of summertime regional air quality:a diagnostic analysis of ozone and temperature simulations in the US using CESM CAM-Chem. Atmospheric Environment 2015;101:134-148. R834283 (Final)
R835205 (2013)
R835205 (2014)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: ScienceDirect-Full Text HTML
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  • Abstract: ScienceDirect-Abstract
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  • Other: ScienceDirect-Full Text PDF
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Journal Article Stochastic parameterization and El Niño–Southern Oscillation. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE Christensen HM, Berner J, Coleman DRB, Palmer TN Christensen HM, Berner J, Coleman DRB, Palmer TN. Stochastic parameterization and El Niño–Southern Oscillation. Journal of Climate 2017;30(1):17-38. R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: Journal of Climate-Full Text HTML
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  • Abstract: Journal of Climate-Abstract
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  • Other: Journal of Climate-Full Text PDF
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Journal Article The sensitivity of global climate to the episodicity of fire aerosol emissions. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS DISCUSSIONS Clark SK, Ward DS, Mahowald NM Clark SK, Ward DS, Mahowald NM. The sensitivity of global climate to the episodicity of fire aerosol emissions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 2013;13:23691-23717. R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: EGU Journals-Full Text PDF
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  • Abstract: EGU Journals-Abstract HTML
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Journal Article Stochastic climate theory and modeling. WIRES CLIMATE CHANGE Franzke CLE, O'Kane TJ, Berner J, Williams PD, Lucarini V Franzke CLE, O'Kane TJ, Berner J, Williams PD, Lucarini V. Stochastic climate theory and modeling. WIREs Climate Change 2015;6(1):63-78. R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: Wiley-Full Text PDF
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  • Abstract: Wiley-Abstract & Full Text HTML
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Journal Article Extreme ozone events: tail behavior of the surface ozone distribution over the U.S. None Phalitnonkiat P, Sun W, Grigoriu MD, Hess P, Samorodnitsky G Phalitnonkiat P, Sun W, Grigoriu MD, Hess P, Samorodnitsky G. Extreme ozone events:tail behavior of the surface ozone distribution over the U.S. Atmospheric Environment 2016;128:134-146. R835205 (2014)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: ScienceDirect-Full Text HTML
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  • Abstract: ScienceDirect-Abstract
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  • Other: ScienceDirect-Full Text PDF
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Journal Article Extremal dependence between temperature and ozone over the continental US ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS Phalitnonkiat P, Hess P, Grigoriu M, Samorodnitsky G, Beaudry E, Tilmes S, Deishi M, Josse B, Plummer D, Sudo K Phalitnonkiat P, Hess P, Grigoriu M, Samorodnitsky G, Beaudry E, Tilmes S, Deishi M, Josse B, Plummer D, Sudo K. Extremal dependence between temperature and ozone over the continental US. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 2018;18(16):11927-11948. R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: EGU - Full Text HTML
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  • Other: EGU - Full Text PDF
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Journal Article Estimate of changes in agricultural terrestrial nitrogen pathways and ammonia emissions from 1850 to present in the Community Earth System Model. BIOGEOSCIENCES Riddick S, Ward D, Hess P, Mahowald N, Massad R, Holland E Riddick S, Ward D, Hess P, Mahowald N, Massad R, Holland E. Estimate of changes in agricultural terrestrial nitrogen pathways and ammonia emissions from 1850 to present in the Community Earth System Model. Biogeosciences 2016;13(11):3397-3426. R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: Biogeosciences-Full Text PDF
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  • Abstract: Biogeosciences-Abstract
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Journal Article Representing forecast error in a convection-permitting ensemble system. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW Romine GS, Schwartz CS, Berner J, Fossell KR, Snyder C, Anderson JL, Weisman ML Romine GS, Schwartz CS, Berner J, Fossell KR, Snyder C, Anderson JL, Weisman ML. Representing forecast error in a convection-permitting ensemble system. Monthly Weather Review 2014;142(12):4519-4541. R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: AMS Journals-Full Text PDF
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  • Abstract: AMS Journals-Abstract
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Journal Article The impact of meteorological persistence on the distribution and extremes of ozone. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS Sun W, Hess P, Liu C Sun W, Hess P, Liu C. The impact of meteorological persistence on the distribution and extremes of ozone. Geophysical Research Letters 2017;44(3):1545-1553. R835205 (Final)
  • Abstract: Wiley-Abstract
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Journal Article Temperature extremes in the Community Atmosphere Model with stochastic parameterizations. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE Tagle F, Berner J, Grigoriu MD, Mahowald NM, Samorodnitsky G Tagle F, Berner J, Grigoriu MD, Mahowald NM, Samorodnitsky G. Temperature extremes in the Community Atmosphere Model with stochastic parameterizations. Journal of Climate 2016;29(1):241-258. R835205 (Final)
  • Abstract: Journal of Climate-Abstract
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  • Other: UCAR-Abstract
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Presentation Evaluation of different model-error schemes in mesoscale ensemble forecasts. None Berner J, Smith KR, Ha S-Y, Hacker J, Snyder C Berner J, Smith KR, Ha S-Y, Hacker J, Snyder C. Evaluation of different model-error schemes in mesoscale ensemble forecasts. Presented at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 9-13, 2013 (Abstract V23B-2816, invited). R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Abstract: ADS-Abstract
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Presentation Evaluation of different model-error schemes in mesoscale ensemble forecasts with WRF-ARW. None Berner J Berner J. Evaluation of different model-error schemes in mesoscale ensemble forecasts with WRF-ARW. Presented at the Joint SRNWP Physical Parameterizations and Ensemble Prediction Systems Workshop, AEMET Headquarters, Madrid, Spain, June 18-20, 2013 (invited). R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
not available
Presentation Decadal predictability of extreme events: impact of a model error representation. None Berner J, Tagle F, Coleman D, Grigoriu MD, Mahowald N, Samorodnitsky G Berner J, Tagle F, Coleman D, Grigoriu MD, Mahowald N, Samorodnitsky G. Decadal predictability of extreme events: impact of a model error representation. Presented at the Atmospheric Modeling and Predictabily (AMP)/Climate and Global Dynamics (CGD) Meeting, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Earth System Laboratory, Boulder, CO, May 16, 2013. R835205 (2012)
R835205 (Final)
not available
Presentation Improved skill in probabilistic forecasts with model-error schemes structural uncertainty vs. increased ensemble spread. None Berner J Berner J. Improved skill in probabilistic forecasts with model-error schemes structural uncertainty vs. increased ensemble spread. Presented at the Stochastic Parameterization in Weather and Climate Models Symposium, Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany, September 16-19, 2013 (invited). R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
  • Other: Universitatbonn-Conference Information
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Presentation The stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter scheme: a way of representing uncertainty in weather and climate models. None Berner J Berner J. The stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter scheme: a way of representing uncertainty in weather and climate models. Presented to the Swiss Meteorological Service, Zurich, Switzerland, September 24, 2013 (invited). R835205 (2013)
R835205 (Final)
not available
Presentation Stochastic parametrisations-toward a new view of weather and climate. None Berner J Berner J. Stochastic parametrisations-toward a new view of weather and climate. Presented at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)/World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Workshop on Model Error, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, April 11-15, 2016. R835205 (Final)
  • Full-text: ECMWF-Powerpoint Presentation PDF
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  • Other: ECMWF-Workshop Description
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Presentation Extreme air quality events using a hierarchy of chemical models: present and future. None Hess P Hess P. Extreme air quality events using a hierarchy of chemical models: present and future. Presented at the U.S. EPA STAR Extreme Events Kick-Off Meeting, Arlington, VA, February 27, 2013. R835205 (2012)
R835205 (Final)
not available
Presentation Future ozone extremes: clues from a data analysis. None Phalitnonkiat P, Hess PG, Samorodnitsky G, Grigoriu MD Phalitnonkiat P, Hess PG, Samorodnitsky G, Grigoriu MD. Future ozone extremes: clues from a data analysis. Poster presented at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 15-19, 2014 (Abstract GC41D-0598). R835205 (2014)
R835205 (Final)
  • Abstract: Harvard University-Abstract
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  • Other: AGU-Abstract
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Presentation On evaluating the skill of using local finite-amplitude wave activity to predict US surface ozone change in the future. None Sun WP, Hess PG, Chen G, Tilmes S Sun WP, Hess PG, Chen G, Tilmes S. On evaluating the skill of using local finite-amplitude wave activity to predict US surface ozone change in the future. Presented at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 12-16, 2016. R835205 (Final)
not available
Presentation How might climate change influence surface ozone in the United States. None Sun W, Hess PG, Liu C Sun W, Hess PG, Liu C. How might climate change influence surface ozone in the United States. Poster presented at the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 14-18, 2015 (Abstract A43G-0382). R835205 (2014)
R835205 (Final)
  • Abstract: Harvard University-Abstract
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Presentation Decadal predictability of extreme events: impact of a model error representation and numerical resolution. None Tagle F, Berner J, Grigoriu M, Mahowald N, Samorodnitsky G Tagle F, Berner J, Grigoriu M, Mahowald N, Samorodnitsky G. Decadal predictability of extreme events: impact of a model error representation and numerical resolution. Presented at the EaSM PI Meeting, Arlington, VA, July 8-11, 2012. R835205 (2012)
R835205 (Final)
not available

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