Grantee Research Project Results
Final Report: Connectivity in Marine Seascapes: Predicting Ecological and Socioeconomic Costs of Climate Change on Coral Reef Ecosystems
EPA Grant Number: R832223Title: Connectivity in Marine Seascapes: Predicting Ecological and Socioeconomic Costs of Climate Change on Coral Reef Ecosystems
Investigators: Sanchirico, James N. , Mumby, Peter J. , Hastings, Alan , Brumbaugh, Dan , Micheli, Fiorenza , Broad, Kenneth
Institution: Resources for the Future , American Museum of Natural History , University of California - Davis , University of Exeter , University of Miami , Stanford University
Current Institution: Resources for the Future , American Museum of Natural History , Stanford University , University of California - Davis , University of Exeter , University of Miami
EPA Project Officer: Packard, Benjamin H
Project Period: March 1, 2005 through February 28, 2008 (Extended to June 30, 2009)
Project Amount: $749,087
RFA: Effects of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services Provided by Coral Reefs and Tidal Marshes (2004) RFA Text | Recipients Lists
Research Category: Aquatic Ecosystems , Water , Ecological Indicators/Assessment/Restoration , Climate Change , Watersheds
Objective:
Our project integrates theory and data from ecology, biology, and the social sciences (economics and anthropology) to address major questions about the ecological and socioeconomic resilience of coral reef-seagrass-mangrove ecosystems. Using a Caribbean coralreef ecosystem as our model system, we systematically explored several core questions, including: (a) How do impacts including overfishing and mangrove deforestation affect the vulnerability of Caribbean coral reefs to climate change? (b) What is the ecological and economic value of taking a more holistic ecosystem-based management approach that considers the broad range of ecosystem services produced from this ecosystem?, and (c) What are the ecological and economic effects of marine reserves in improving the health of the coral-reef ecosystem? Our methodology consisted of empirical, theoretical, and simulation based modeling both in the ecological research and in the integrative interdisciplinary socioeconomic-ecological analysis.Summary/Accomplishments (Outputs/Outcomes):
References:
[1] M.L. Baskett, F. Micheli, and S.A. Levin, Designing marine reserves for interacting species: Insights from theory. Biological Conservation 2007;137:163-179.
[2] K. Broad, and J.N. Sanchirico, Local perspectives on marine reserve creation in the Bahamas. Ocean & Coastal Management 2008;51:763-771.
[3] H.J. Edwards, I.A. Elliott, R.L. Pressey, and P.J. Mumby, Incorporating ontogenetic dispersal, ecological processes and conservation zoning into reserve design. Biological Conservation 2010;143:457-470.
[4] B.S. Halpern, S.E. Lester, and J.B. Kellner, Spillover from Marine Reserves and the Replenishment of Fished Stocks. Environmental Conservation (In press).
[5] A.R. Harborne, P.J. Mumby, F. Micheli, C.T. Perry, C.P. Dahlgren, et al. The functional value of Caribbean coral reef, seagrass and mangrove habitats to ecosystem processes. Advances in Marine Biology 2006;50:57-189.
[6] A.R. Harborne, P.J. Mumby, C.V. Kappel, C.P. Dahlgren, F. Micheli, et al. Tropical coastal habitats as surrogates of fish community structure, grazing, and fisheries value. Ecological Applications 2008;18:1689-1701.
[7] A.R. Harborne, P.J. Mumby, C.V. Kappel, C.P. Dahlgren, F. Micheli, et al., Reserve effects and natural variation in coral reef communities. Journal of Applied Ecology 2008;45:1010-1018.
[8] R. Hilborn, F. Micheli, and G.A. De Leo, Integrating marine protected areas with catch regulation. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 2006;63:642-649.
[9] O. Hoegh-Guldberg, P.J. Mumby, A.J. Hooten, R.S. Steneck, P. Greenfield, et al., Coral reefs under rapid climate change and ocean acidification. Science 2007;318:1737-1742.
[10] J.B. Kellner, S.Y. Litvin, A. Hastings, P.J. Mumby, and F. Micheli, Disentangling Trophic Interactions inside a Caribbean Marine Reserve. Ecological Applications (In press).
[11] F. Micheli, M.J. Bishop, C.H. Peterson, and J. Rivera, Alteration of seagrass species composition and function over two decades. Ecological Monographs 2008;78:225-244.
[12] P.J. Mumby, A.J. Edwards, J.E. Arias-Gonzalez, K.C. Lindeman, P.G. Blackwell, et al., Mangroves enhance the biomass of coral reef fish communities in the Caribbean. Nature 2004;427:533-536.
[13] P.J. Mumby, The impact of exploiting grazers (scaridae) on the dynamics of Caribbean coral reefs. Ecological Applications 2006;16:747-769.
[14] P.J. Mumby, Connectivity of reef fish between mangroves and coral reefs: Algorithms for the design of marine reserves at seascape scales. Biological Conservation 2006;128:215-222.
[15] P.J. Mumby, C.P. Dahlgren, A.R. Harborne, C.V. Kappel, F. Micheli, et al., Fishing, trophic cascades, and the process of grazing on coral reefs. Science 2006;311:98-101.
[16] P.J. Mumby, J.D. Hedley, K. Zychaluk, A.R. Harborne, and P.G. Blackwell, Revisiting the catastrophic die-off of the urchin Diadema antillarum on Caribbean coral reefs: Fresh insights on resilience from a simulation model. Ecological Modelling 2006;196:131-148.
[17] P.J. Mumby, F. Micheli, C.P. Dahlgren, S.Y. Litvin, A.B. Gill, et al., Marine parks need sharks? Response. Science 2006;312:527-528.
[18] P.J. Mumby, A.R. Harborne, J. Williams, C.V. Kappel, D.R. Brumbaugh, et al., Trophic cascade facilitates coral recruitment in a marine reserve. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2007;104:8362-8367.
[19] P.J. Mumby, A. Hastings, and H.J. Edwards, Thresholds and the resilience of Caribbean coral reefs. Nature 2007;450:98-101.
[20] P.J. Mumby, K. Broad, D.R. Brumbaugh, C.P. Dahlgren, A.R. Harborne, et al., Coral reef habitats as surrogates of species, ecological functions, and ecosystem services. Conservation Biology 2008;22:941-951.
[21] P.J. Mumby, and A. Hastings, The impact of ecosystem connectivity on coral reef resilience. Journal of Applied Ecology 2008;45:854-862.
[22] P.J. Mumby, and R.S. Steneck, Coral reef management and conservation in light of rapidly evolving ecological paradigms. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 2008;23:555-563.
[23] P.J. Mumby, Herbivory versus corallivory: are parrotfish good or bad for Caribbean coral reefs? Coral Reefs 2009;28:683-690.
[24] P.J. Mumby, Phase shifts and the stability of macroalgal communities on Caribbean coral reefs. Coral Reefs 2009;28:761-773.
[25] P.J. Mumby, and A.R. Harborne, Marine Reserves Enhance the Recovery of Corals on Caribbean Reefs. Plos One 2010;5.
[26] J.N. Sanchirico, U. Malvadkar, A. Hastings, and J.E. Wilen, When are no-take zones an economically optimal fishery management strategy? Ecological Applications 2006;16:1643-1659.
Journal Articles on this Report : 25 Displayed | Download in RIS Format
Other project views: | All 75 publications | 38 publications in selected types | All 38 journal articles |
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Type | Citation | ||
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Blackwood JC, Hastings A, Mumby PJ. The effect of fishing on hysteresis in Caribbean coral reefs.Theoretical Ecology 2012;5(1):105-114. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Broad K, Sanchirico JN. Local perspectives on marine reserve creation in the Bahamas. Ocean & Coastal Management 2008;51(11):763-771. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Edwards HJ, Elliott IA, Pressey RL, Mumby PJ. Incorporating ontogenetic dispersal, ecological processes and conservation zoning into reserve design. Biological Conservation 2010;143(2):457-470. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Halpern BS, Lester SE, Kellner JB. Spillover from marine reserves and the replenishment of fished stocks. Environmental Conservation 2009;36(4):268-276. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Harborne AR, Mumby PJ, Kappel CV, Dahlgren CP, Micheli F, Holmes KE, Sanchirico JN, Broad K, Elliott IA, Brumbaugh DR. Reserve effects and natural variation in coral reef communities. Journal of Applied Ecology 2008;45(4):1010-1018. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Harborne AR, Mumby PJ, Kappel CV, Dahlgren CP, Micheli F, Holmes KE, Brumbaugh DR. Tropical coastal habitats as surrogates of fish community structure, grazing, and fisheries value. Ecological Applications 2008;18(7):1689-1701. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Hoegh-Guldberg O, Mumby PJ, Hooten AJ, Steneck RS, Greenfield P, Gomez E, Harvell CD, Sale PF, Edwards AJ, Caldeira K, Knowlton N, Eakin CM, Iglesias-Prieto R, Muthiga N, Bradbury RH, Dubi A, Hatziolos ME. Coral reefs under rapid climate change and ocean acidification. Science 2007;318(5857):1737-1742. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Kellner JB, Litvin SY, Hastings A, Micheli F, Mumby PJ. Disentangling trophic interactions inside a Caribbean marine reserve. Ecological Applications 2010;20(7):1979-1992. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Kellner JB, Sanchirico JN, Hastings A, Mumby PJ. Optimizing for multiple species and multiple values:tradeoffs inherent in ecosystem-based fisheries management. Conservation Letters 2011;4(1):21-30. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Micheli F, Bishop MJ, Peterson CH, Rivera J. Alteration of seagrass species composition and function over two decades. Ecological Monographs 2008;78(2):225-244. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Mumby PJ, Edwards AJ, Arias-Gonzalez JE, Lindeman KC, Blackwell PG, Gall A, Gorczynska MI, Harborne AR, Pescod CL, Renken H, Wabnitz CCC, Llewellyn G. Mangroves enhance the biomass of coral reef fish communities in the Caribbean. Nature 2004;427(6974):533-536. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Mumby PJ, Hastings A, Edwards HJ. Thresholds and the resilience of Caribbean coral reefs. Nature 2007;450(7166):98-101. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Mumby PJ, Broad K, Brumbaugh DR, Dahlgren CP, Harborne AR, Hastings A, Holmes KE, Kappel CV, Micheli F, Sanchirico JN. Coral reef habitats as surrogates of species, ecological functions, and ecosystem services. Conservation Biology 2008;22(4):941-951. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Mumby PJ, Hastings A. The impact of ecosystem connectivity on coral reef resilience. Journal of Applied Ecology 2008;45(3):854-862. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Mumby PJ, Steneck RS. Coral reef management and conservation in light of rapidly evolving ecological paradigms. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 2008;23(10):555-563. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Mumby PJ. Herbivory versus corallivory: are parrotfish good or bad for Caribbean coral reefs? Coral Reefs 2009;28(3):683-690. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Mumby PJ. Phase shifts and the stability of macroalgal communities on Caribbean coral reefs. Coral Reefs 2009;28(3):761-773. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Mumby PJ, Harborne AR. Marine reserves enhance the recovery of corals on Caribbean reefs. PloS One 2010;5(1):e8657. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Sanchirico JN, Malvadkar U, Hastings A, Wilen JE. When are no-take zones an economically optimal fishery management strategy? Ecological Applications 2006;16(5):1643-1659. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Sanchirico JN, Mumby P. Mapping ecosystem functions to the valuation of ecosystem services: implications of species–habitat associations for coastal land-use decisions. Theoretical Ecology 2009;2(2):67-77. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Sanchirico JN, Wilen JE, Coleman C. Optimal rebuilding of a metapopulation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 2010;92(4):1087-1102. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit |
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Sanchirico JN, Springborn M. How to get there from here: ecological and economic dynamics of ecosystem service provision. Environmental and Resource Economics 2011;48(2):243-267. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
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Smith MD, Sanchirico JN, Wilen JE. The economics of spatial-dynamic processes: applications to renewable resources. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 2009;57(1):104-121. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Smith MD, Lynham J, Sanchirico JN, Wilson JA. Political economy of marine reserves: understanding the role of opportunity costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2010;107(43):18300-18305. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit Exit |
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Tittensor DP, Micheli F, Nystrom M, Worm B. Human impacts on the species–area relationship in reef fish assemblages. Ecology Letters 2007;10(9):760-772. |
R832223 (Final) |
Exit Exit |
Supplemental Keywords:
marine, estuary, ecological effects, ecosystem, susceptibility, aquatic, integrated assessment, sustainable development, habitat, organism, environmental assets, conservation, public policy, decision making, social science, ecology, biology, mathematics, modeling, analytical, landsat, remote sensing, EPA region 2., RFA, Scientific Discipline, Air, Ecosystem Protection/Environmental Exposure & Risk, Aquatic Ecosystems & Estuarine Research, climate change, Air Pollution Effects, Chemistry, Monitoring/Modeling, Aquatic Ecosystem, Environmental Monitoring, Ecological Risk Assessment, Atmosphere, environmental measurement, meteorology, climatic influence, global ciruclation model, coral reefs, global change, climate, tidal marsh, socioeconomics, climate models, ecosystem indicators, aquatic ecosystems, environmental stress, coastal ecosystems, global climate models, coral reef communities, ecological models, climate model, ecosystem stress, sea level rise, Global Climate Change, atmospheric chemistry, climate variabilityRelevant Websites:
Progress and Final Reports:
Original AbstractThe perspectives, information and conclusions conveyed in research project abstracts, progress reports, final reports, journal abstracts and journal publications convey the viewpoints of the principal investigator and may not represent the views and policies of ORD and EPA. Conclusions drawn by the principal investigators have not been reviewed by the Agency.
Project Research Results
- 2008 Progress Report
- 2007 Progress Report
- 2006 Progress Report
- 2005 Progress Report
- Original Abstract
38 journal articles for this project