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Using WRF for Regional Climate Modeling: An Emphasis on the Southeast U.S. for Future Air Quality
Citation:
Talgo, K., J. Bowden, T. Spero, C. Nolte, AND M. Mallard. Using WRF for Regional Climate Modeling: An Emphasis on the Southeast U.S. for Future Air Quality. Meteorology And Climate - Modeling for Air Quality (MAC-MAQ), Sacramento, CA, September 16 - 18, 2015.
Impact/Purpose:
The National Exposure Research Laboratory (NERL) Atmospheric Modeling and Analysis Division (AMAD) conducts research in support of EPA mission to protect human health and the environment. AMAD research program is engaged in developing and evaluating predictive atmospheric models on all spatial and temporal scales for forecasting the air quality and for assessing changes in air quality and air pollutant exposures, as affected by changes in ecosystem management and regulatory decisions. AMAD is responsible for providing a sound scientific and technical basis for regulatory policies based on air quality models to improve ambient air quality. The models developed by AMAD are being used by EPA, NOAA, and the air pollution community in understanding and forecasting not only the magnitude of the air pollution problem, but also in developing emission control policies and regulations for air quality improvements.
Description:
This presentation describes preliminary analysis of a five-member regional climate ensemble (developed by AMAD and its contractors, including UNC) to determine if there is any consensus on projected changes to the placement of the North Atlantic Subtropical High (NASH, or Bermuda High). The presentation uses the placement of the NASH in combination with changes to summer peak temperatures to qualitatively infer changes to the air quality risks in the southeastern U.S. through 2050.
