Reframing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States
Citation:
Reframing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States. Earth’s Future. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, 6(9):1323-1335, (2018). https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000943
Impact/Purpose:
The goal of this study is to reframe the analysis and discussion of extreme heat projections to improve communication of future extreme heat risks in the United States.
Description:
We present location‐specific projections of extreme heat risk, in terms of both frequency and intensity, based on global average temperature increases of 1.5, 2, 3, and 4 °C above a preindustrial baseline. To more accurately reflect individuals' past experiences, we also explore future temperature extremes in the context of both absolute thresholds (e.g., 100 °F days) and locally relevant thresholds (e.g., historical hottest day of the year by location). Using this method, we can report our results on future changes in the risk of extreme heat events in a format relevant to any given local history.
URLs/Downloads:
DOI: Reframing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United StatesReframing Future Risks of Extreme Heat in the United States