You are here:
SCREENING MODELS TO PREDICT PROBABILITY OF CONTAMINATION BY PATHOGENIC VIRUSES TO DRINKING WATER AQUIFERS
Citation:
Faulkner*, B P. SCREENING MODELS TO PREDICT PROBABILITY OF CONTAMINATION BY PATHOGENIC VIRUSES TO DRINKING WATER AQUIFERS. Presented at US EPA's Research on Microorganisms in Drinking Water Workshop, Cincinnati, OH, 08/5-7/2003.
Description:
The purpose of this research is to develop simple, screening level models to predict the overall ability of ground-water systems to attenuate viable viruses introduced to them. Compartmental modeling approaches are used because of their simplicity. Stakeholders and decision makers often seek cursory screening level models to identify at-risk drinking water supplies. When applied under appropriate circumstances, compartmental models can allow prioritization of ground water systems for further investigation, especially if such models employ probabilistic methods in their development that can capture much of the uncertainty in input parameters. The goals of this research are to develop such screening models and to perform sensitivity analyses of the models, and to develop prior distributions that correspond to actual uncertainties in the domain of the inputs.