Citation:

Kobres, P., C. Viboud, M. Johansson, M. Biggerstaff, T. Quandelacy, P. Whung, J. Morgan, J. Chretien, AND S. Pollett. Zika virus forecasting and prediction studies: a systematic review and evaluation of their utility during a global health emergency. American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (ASTMH), New Orleans, LA, October 28 - November 01, 2018.

Impact/Purpose:

PPFST conducted a systematic review and evaluation of all ZIKV prediction studies during the recent ZIKV pandemic to assess the timeliness, reproducibility and actions taken using these studies.

Description:

May ZIKV predictions were published during the 2016-2017 pandemic. The accessibility, reproducibility, timeliness and incorporation of uncertainty in these published predictions varied and indicates that there is substantial room for improvement. In order to enhance the utility of analytical tools for outbreak response, it is essential to improve the public access and sharing of models, data, code and preprints for future outbreaks.

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