Science Inventory

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Spero, T., C. Barr, J. Bernagros, AND T. Johnson. Extreme Weather Research Overview & Coordination:?On-going Research Projects. Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP): ?Modeling Workgroup and Climate Resilience Workgroup, Chapel Hill, NC, October 06 - 07, 2020.

Gray, G., K. Kunkel, T. Spero, J. Bowden, A. Jalowska, AND M. Mallard. Finescale Event-Based Modeling of Design Storms in the Urban Environment. American Meteorological Society’s 100th Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, January 12 - 16, 2020.

Jalowska, A., T. Spero, D. Line, B. Doll, J. Bowden, AND J. Kurki-Fox. Future pluvial flooding associated with projected extreme rainfall in North Carolina, USA. 2020 AGU Fall Meeting, on-line, On-Line, December 07 - 11, 2020.

Zhang, H., J. Wang, L. Castro García, C. Ge, T. Plessel, J. Szykman, R. Levy, B. Murphy, AND T. Spero. Improving surface PM2.5 forecasts in the U.S. using an ensemble of chemical transport model outputs, multi satellite-based AOD products, and surface observations. Fall AGU 2020, Virtual, Virtual, December 07 - 11, 2020.

Spero, T., B. Murphy, H. Huanxin Zhang1,2, Jun Wang1,2, Lorena Castro García1,2, Cui Ge, J. Wang, L. Castro García, C. Ge, AND T. Plessel. Improving surface PM2.5 forecasts in the U.S. using an ensemble of chemical transport model outputs, part I: bias correction with surface observations in non-rural areas. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 125(14):e2019JD032293, (2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032293

Nassikas, N., K. Spangler, N. Fann, C. Nolte, Patrick Dolwick, T. Spero, P. Sheffield, AND G. Willenius. Ozone-related asthma emergency department visits in the US in a warming climate. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH. Elsevier B.V., Amsterdam, Netherlands, 183:109206, (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.109206

Appel, Keith Wyat, J. Bash, K. Fahey, K. Foley, R. Gilliam, C. Hogrefe, Bill Hutzell, D. Kang, R. Mathur, B. Murphy, S. Napelenok, Chris Nolte, Jon Pleim, G. Pouliot, H. Pye, G. Sarwar, D. Schwede, F. Sidi, T. Spero, D. Wong, D. Luecken, S. Roselle, AND L. Ran. The Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Model Versions 5.3 and 5.3.1: Science Updates and Evaluation. AESMD Division Seminar, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, August 19, 2020.

Jalowska, A., J. Bowden, AND T. Spero. Changes in Eastern North Carolina PIDF Curves Projected in Dynamically Downscaled CESM and CM3 Models, Under Future Scenarios (2025-2100) Using WRF. 2019 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 09 - 13, 2019.

Jalowska, A. AND T. Spero. Developing PIDF Curves From Dynamically Downscaled WRF Model Fields to Examine Extreme Precipitation Events in Three Eastern U.S. Metropolitan Areas. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 124(24):13895-13913, (2019). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031584

Mallard, M. AND T. Spero. Effects of Mosaic Land Use on Dynamically Downscaled WRF Simulations of the Contiguous U.S. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 124(16):9117-9140, (2019). https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029755

Sarwar, G., B. Gantt, K. Foley, K. Fahey, T. Spero, D. Kang, R. Mathur, H. Foroutan, J. Xing, T. Sherwen, AND A. Saiz-Lopez. Influence of bromine and iodine chemistry on annual, seasonal, diurnal, and background ozone: CMAQ simulations over the Northern Hemisphere. ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT. Elsevier Science Ltd, New York, NY, 213:395-404, (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.06.020

Jalowska, A., J. Bowden, AND T. Spero. Intensification of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern North Carolina Projected in Dynamically Downscaled CESM and CM3 Models Under Future Scenarios (2025-2100) Using WRF. 2019 CMAS Conference, Chapel Hill, NC, October 21 - 23, 2019.

Zhang, W., T. Spero, Chris Nolte, V. Garcia, Z. Lin, P. Romitti, G. Shaw, S. Sheridan, M. Feldkamp, A. Woomert, S. Hwang, S. Fisher, M. Browne, Y. Hao, AND S. Lin. Projected Changes in Maternal Heat Exposure During Early Pregnancy and the Associated Congenital Heart Defect Burden in the United States. Journal of the American Heart Association (JAHA). American Heart Association, Dallas, TX, 8(3):e010995, (2019). https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.118.010995

Campbell, P., J. Bash, Chris Nolte, T. Spero, E. Cooter, K. Hinson, AND L. Linker. Projections of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 12(11):3307-3326, (2019). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005203

Campbell, P., J. Bash, AND T. Spero. Updates to the Noah Land Surface Model in WRF‐CMAQ to Improve Simulated Meteorology, Air Quality, and Deposition. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, 11(1):231-256, (2019). https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001422

Spero, T., Chris Nolte, M. Mallard, AND J. Bowden. A Maieutic Exploration of Nudging Strategies for Regional Climate Applications Using the WRF Model. JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY. American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 57:1883-1906, (2018). https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0360.1

Bash, J., L. Linker, P. Campbell, K. Foley, G. Bhatt, G. Shenk, J. Zhang, AND T. Spero. Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition Modeling of the Chesapeake Bay: Current Applications and Future Directions. 2018 Annual CMAS Conference, Chapel Hill, NC, October 22 - 24, 2018.

Liu, P., C. Hogrefe, U. Im, J. Christensen, J. Bieser, U. Nopmongcol, G. Yarwood, R. Mathur, S. Roselle, AND T. Spero. Attributing differences in the fate of lateral boundary ozone in AQMEII3 models to physical process representations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. Copernicus Publications, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany, 18(23):17157-17175, (2018). https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-17157-2018

Jalowska, A. AND T. Spero. Changes in Extreme Precipitation Events Over Eastern U.S. Urban Areas Reflected in Observed and WRF-model Hourly Precipitation Data. 2018 AGU Fall Meeting, Washington, DC, December 10 - 14, 2018.

Jalowska, A. AND T. Spero. Developing Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves from Modeled Meteorological Fields to Inform Storm Water Management under Future Scenarios. Sixth Interagency Conference on Research in the Watersheds (ICRW), Sheperdstown, WV, July 24, 2018.

Jalowska, A. AND T. Spero. Evaluation of Dynamically Downscaled, 36- and 12-km Simulations of the WRF Model to Develop Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves for U.S. Urban Areas. 2018 CMAS Conference, Chapel Hill, NC, October 22 - 24, 2018.

Mallard, M., T. Spero, AND S. Taylor. Examining WRF’s Sensitivity to Contemporary Land-Use Datasets across the Contiguous United States Using Dynamical Downscaling. JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY. American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 57(11):2561-2583, (2018). https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0328.1

Mallard, M. AND T. Spero. Examining the Effects of Mosaic Land Cover on Extreme Events in Historical Downscaled WRF Simulations. 2018 AMS Annual Meeting, Austin, TX, January 07 - 11, 2018.

Nolte, Chris, P. Dolwick, N. Fann, L. Horowitz, V. Naik, R. Pinder, T. Spero, D. Winner, AND L. Ziska. FOURTH NATIONAL CLIMATE ASSESSMENT: CHAPTER 13: AIR QUALITY. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2018. https://doi.org/10.7930/NCA4.2018.CH13

Bash, J., P. Campbell, D. Schwede, AND T. Spero. Future Directions and the Importance of Scale in Estimating Atmospheric Nitrogen Loading to the Chesapeake Bay. 2018 Chesapeake Community Research & Modeling Symposium, Annapolis, MD, June 12 - 14, 2018.