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Main Title The security demographic : population and civil conflict after the Cold War /
Author Cincotta, Richard Paul.
Other Authors
Author Title of a Work
Engelman, Robert.
Anastasion, Daniele.
Publisher Population Action International,
Year Published 2003
Report Number AD-a422 694
OCLC Number 54314166
ISBN 9781889735481; 1889735485
Subjects Demographic transition ; Population ; Birth control ; Population Dynamics ; Contraception ; Violence ; Civil Disorders ; Dynamique de la population ; Guerres civiles ; Analyse démographique ; Monde ; Burgeroorlogen ; Risico's ; Bevolkingsontwikkeling ; Politique démographique ; Guerre civile ; Changement démographique ; Transition démographique ; Régulation des naissances
Library Call Number Additional Info Location Last
EKBM  HB887.C59 2003 Research Triangle Park Library/RTP, NC 01/28/2005
Collation 101 pages : color illustrations, color maps, portrait, charts (some color) ; 27 cm
Notes Includes bibliographical references (pages 78-85).
Contents Notes Ch. 1. Conflicts and conundrums -- ch. 2. Transition from turmoil -- ch. 3. Stress factor one, the youth bulge -- ch. 4. Stress factor two, rapid urban growth -- ch. 5. Stress factor three, competition for cropland and fresh water -- ch. 6. Stress factor four, HIV/AIDS, death in the prime of life -- ch. 7. Interactions of demographic stress factors. Do the dynamics of human population-rates of growth, age structure, distribution and more-influence when and where warfare will next break out? The findings of this report suggest that the risks of civil conflict (deadly violence between governments and non-state insurgents, or between state factions within territorial boundaries) that are generated by demographic factors may be much more significant than generally recognized, and worthy of more serious consideration by national security policy makers and researchers. Its conclusions-drawn from a review of literature and analyses of data from 180 countries, about half of which experienced civil conflict at some time from 1970 through 2000-argue that: Recent progress along the demographic transition-a population's shift from high to low rates of birth and death is associated with continuous declines in the vulnerability of nation-states to civil conflict. If this association continues through the 21st century, then a range of policies promoting small, healthy and better educated families and long lives among populations in developing countries seems likely to encourage greater political stability in weak states and to enhance global security in the future.
Place Published Washington, D.C. :
Corporate Au Added Ent Population Action International.
PUB Date Free Form c2003.
BIB Level m
Cataloging Source OCLC/T
LCCN 2003113669
Merged OCLC records 1049847655
OCLC Time Stamp 20050128135947
Language eng
Origin OCLC
Type CAT
OCLC Rec Leader 01439cam 2200313 a 45020