| Main Title |
Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis / |
| Author |
Lempert, Robert J.
|
| Other Authors |
|
| Publisher |
RAND, |
| Year Published |
2003 |
| Report Number |
MR-1626-RPC |
| Stock Number |
$30.00 |
| OCLC Number |
52430735 |
| ISBN |
0833032755; 9780833032751 |
| Subjects |
System analysis ;
Decision making ;
Information technology
|
| Internet Access |
|
| Holdings |
| Library |
Call Number |
Additional Info |
Location |
Last
Modified |
Checkout
Status |
| EJBM |
T57.6.L46 2003 |
|
Headquarters Library/Washington,DC |
07/06/2005 |
|
| Collation |
xxi, 187 pages : illustrations (some color) ; 23 cm |
| Notes |
"MR-1626." Includes bibliographical references. |
| Contents Notes |
"The checkered history of predicting the future--e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty." |
| Place Published |
Santa Monica, CA : |
| Access Notes |
Also available in electronic form via the RAND Corporation Web site. |
| PUB Date Free Form |
2003. |
| BIB Level |
m |
| Cataloging Source |
OCLC/T |
| LCCN |
2003012438 |
| Merged OCLC records |
51913578; 55211159 |
| OCLC Time Stamp |
20050705160408 |
| Language |
eng |
| Origin |
OCLC |
| Type |
CAT |
| OCLC Rec Leader |
01108cam 2200349 a 45020 |
