||Input Specifications to Stochastic Decision Models.
Claino, Deme Michael ;
||Arizona Univ., Tucson. Dept. of Systems Engineering.
||DI-14-31-0001-3503; OWRR-A-024-ARIZ; 02209,; A-024-ARIZ(8)
Stochastic processes ;
Decision theory ;
Stream flow ;
Water resources ;
Water supply ;
Computer programs ;
Hydroelectric power generation ;
Mathematical programming ;
Mathematical models ;
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The use of discrete conditional dependency matrices as input to stochastic decision models is examined. Some of the problems and initial assumptions involved with the construction of the matrices are discussed. Covered in considerable detail is the transform used to relate the gamma space with the normal space. A new transform is introduced that should produce reasonable results when the record of streamflows (data) has a highly skewed distribution. Finally, the possibility of using the matrices to provide realistic inputs to a stochastic dynamic program is discussed. (Author)