Includes bibliographical references and index.

This book's organization : read me first! -- Introduction : models we believe in -- What is this stuff called probability? -- Bayes' rule -- Inferring a binomial proportion via exact mathematical analysis -- Inferring a binomial proportion via grid approximation -- Inferring a binomial proportion via the Metropolis algorithm -- Inferring two binomial proportions via Gibbs sampling -- Bernoulli likelihood with hierarchical prior -- Hierarchical modeling and model comparison -- Null hypothesis significance testing -- Bayesian approaches to testing a point ("null") hypothesis -- Goals, power, and sample size -- Overview of the generalized linear model -- Metric predicted variable on a single group -- Metric predicted variable with one metric predictor -- Metric predicted variable with multiple metric predictors -- Metric predicted variable with one nominal predictor -- Metric predicted variable with multiple nominal predictors -- Dichotomous predicted variable -- Ordinal predicted variable -- Contingency table analysis -- Tools in the trunk. "There is an explosion of interest in Bayesian statistics, primarily because recently created computational methods have finally made Bayesian analysis tractable and accessible to a wide audience. Doing Bayesian Data Analysis, A Tutorial Introduction with R and BUGS, is for first year graduate students or advanced undergraduates and provides an accessible approach, as all mathematics is explained intuitively and with concrete examples. It assumes only algebra and a rustya calculus. Unlike other textbooks, this book begins with the basics, including essential concepts of probability and random sampling. The book gradually climbs all the way to advanced hierarchical modeling methods for realistic data. The text provides complete examples with the R programming language and BUGS software (both freeware), and begins with basic programming examples, working up gradually to complete programs for complex analyses and presentation graphics. These templates can be easily adapted for a large variety of students and their own research needs. The textbook bridges the students from their undergraduate training into modern Bayesian methods."--Publisher's description.