Record Display for the EPA National Library Catalog

RECORD NUMBER: 379 OF 382

Main Title Verification of Water Quality Models.
Author Thomann, R. V. ;
CORP Author Manhattan Coll., Bronx, NY. Environmental Engineering and Science Program.;Environmental Research Lab.-Duluth, Grosse Ile, MI. Large Lakes Research Station.
Year Published 1982
Report Number EPA-R-803680; EPA-600/D-84-062;
Stock Number PB84-171362
Additional Subjects Mathematical models ; Water pollution ; Lake Ontario ; Decision making ; Oxygen ; Dissolved gases ; Regression analysis ; Errors ; Kinetics ; Performance evaluation ; Reprints ; Eutrophication
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NTIS  PB84-171362 Some EPA libraries have a fiche copy filed under the call number shown. 07/26/2022
Collation 21p
Abstract
The basic concepts of water quality models are reviewed and the need to recognize calibration and verification of models with observed data is stressed. Post auditing of models after environmental control procedures are implemented is necessary to determine true model prediction ability. The direct questions in the decision-making arena related to model credibility are examined by several quantitative measures of model performance: regression analysis between observed and computed values, relative and root mean square errors and comparison of means. An analysis of 15 DO water quality models indicated median relative error of 10%. For a eutrophication model of Lake Ontario, application of quantitative verification measures indicated the credibility of the calculations decreased as the model was applied to smaller scale phenomena.