Record Display for the EPA National Library Catalog


OLS Field Name OLS Field Data
Main Title Useless arithmetic : why environmental scientists can't predict the future /
Author Pilkey, Orrin H.,
Other Authors
Author Title of a Work
Pilkey-Jarvis, Linda.
Publisher Columbia University Press,
Year Published 2007
OCLC Number 65207068
ISBN 0231132123; 9780231132121; 9780231132138; 0231132131
Subjects Environmental protection--Decision making--Mathematics. ; Environmental policy--Mathematics. ; Ecology--Mathematical models. ; Umweltschutz ; Mathematisches Modell ; Miljèoskydd--matematiska modeller. ; Miljèopolitik--matematiska modeller. ; Ekologi--matematiska modeller.
Library Call Number Additional Info Location Last
ESAM  TD171.8.P55 2007 Region 10 Library/Seattle,WA 03/23/2007 STATUS
Collation xv, 230 pages : illustrations, maps ; 24 cm
Includes bibliographical references (pages 213-221) and index.
Contents Notes
Mathematical fishing -- Mathematical models : escaping from reality -- Yucca Mountain : a million years of certainty -- How fast the rising sea? -- Following a wayward rule -- Beaches in an expected universe -- Giant cups of poison -- Invasive plants : an environmental apocalypse -- A promise unfulfilled. "The book offers fascinating case studies depicting how the seductiveness of quantitative models has led to unmanageable nuclear waste disposal practices, poisoned mining sites, unjustifiable faith in predicted sea level rise rates, bad predictions of future shoreline erosion rates, overoptimistic cost estimates of artificial beaches, and a host of other thorny problems. The authors demonstrate how many modelers have been reckless, employing fudge factors to assure "correct" answers and caring little if their models actually worked."--Jacket.