| Main Title |
The use of judgmental probability in decision making : final report / |
| Author |
Quinn, Daniel J.,
|
| Other Authors |
|
| Publisher |
SRI International, |
| Year Published |
1978 |
| OCLC Number |
964934562 |
| Subjects |
Air quality--Standards--United States--Decision making--Psychological aspects ;
Employees
|
| Additional Subjects |
United States--Environmental Protection Agency--Employees
|
| Holdings |
| Library |
Call Number |
Additional Info |
Location |
Last
Modified |
Checkout
Status |
| EJBM |
TD171.8.Q84 1978 |
|
Headquarters Library/Washington,DC |
07/07/2020 |
|
| Collation |
48 leaves : illustrations, charts ; 28 cm |
| Notes |
Cover title. "May 1978." "SRI Project 6780." Includes bibliographical references (pages 44-48). |
| Contents Notes |
This paper discusses the use of probability to quantitatively measure experts' judgments regarding uncertainty. We review the need for probability assessment, its proper role in the decision-making process, and an accepted method of encoding a probability distribution. We also address the questions of current government use and of validation of judgmental probability assessment through a review of several published studies and a telephone survey of several key practitioners. |
