| Main Title |
Use of Judgmental Probability in Decision Making. |
| Author |
Quinn, Daniel J. ;
Matheson, James E. ;
|
| CORP Author |
SRI International, Menlo Park, CA.;Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. |
| Year Published |
1978 |
| Report Number |
SRI-6780; |
| Stock Number |
PB82-246000 |
| Additional Subjects |
Decision making ;
Judgment ;
Air pollution ;
Standards ;
Probability theory ;
|
| Holdings |
| Library |
Call Number |
Additional Info |
Location |
Last
Modified |
Checkout
Status |
| NTIS |
PB82-246000 |
Some EPA libraries have a fiche copy filed under the call number shown. |
|
07/26/2022 |
|
| Collation |
56p |
| Abstract |
This paper discusses the use of probability to quantitatively measure experts judgments regarding uncertainty. The authors review the need for probability assessment, its proper role in the decision-making process, and an accepted method of encoding a probability distribution. They also address the questions of current government use and of validation of judgmental probability assessment through a review of several published studies and a telephone survey of several key practitioners. |
