Scientific Uncertainty in Environmental RegulationEPA Grant Number: U915442
Title: Scientific Uncertainty in Environmental Regulation
Investigators: Levine, Michael
Institution: Duke University
EPA Project Officer: Michaud, Jayne
Project Period: January 1, 1998 through January 1, 2001
Project Amount: $65,170
RFA: STAR Graduate Fellowships (1998) RFA Text | Recipients Lists
Research Category: Fellowship - Environmental Law , Economics and Decision Sciences , Academic Fellowships
The objective of this research project is to explore the scientific uncertainty that pervades regulatory decision making. Decision analytic models will be used to establish a framework in which uncertainties can be quantified and used to make better-informed decisions.
First, the evolution and development of a regulatory system, which is based on a judicial model, will be explored. The adversarial nature of the decisionmaking process and the role binary decisions play in the regulation of toxic substances will be examined. Furthermore, the scientific, political, and legal difficulties of using science and scientists in an adversarial process will be examined. The importance of value judgements and how they are ignored in this process, as well as the relationship between scientific, political, and legal uncertainties will be detailed. Finally, a framework in which these factors can be quantified and accounted for in the decision-making process will be developed. Decision analytic theory will be used to establish this framework and apply it to existing decisions. Quantifying these uncertainties and value judgements hopefully will reduce the contentious nature of regulatory debates and allow for more informed decision making.