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Triple Value System Dynamics Modeling to Help Stakeholders Engage with Food-Energy-Water Problems
Citation:
Tanners, N., R. Black, M. Flight, E. Ruder, A. Bassi, J. Fiksel, G. Foley, M. Tenbrink, J. Hunter, AND M. Nicholson. Triple Value System Dynamics Modeling to Help Stakeholders Engage with Food-Energy-Water Problems. The Food-Energy-Water Nexus, 16th National Conference and Global Forum on Science, Policy and the Environment, Washington DC, January 19 - 21, 2016.
Impact/Purpose:
Triple Value (3V) Community scoping projects and Triple Value Simulation (3VS) models help decision makers and stakeholders apply systems analysis to complex problems related to environmental management goals. This conference presentation discusses how to use this methodology to address food production, water quality, and energy use.
Description:
Triple Value (3V) Community scoping projects and Triple Value Simulation (3VS) models help decision makers and stakeholders apply systems-analysis methodology to complex problems related to food production, water quality, and energy use. 3VS models are decision support tools that use system dynamics to evaluate alternative policy approaches to problems related to the food-energy-water nexus. Through 3V scoping and modeling processes, stakeholders define models that illustrate linkages among social, environmental, and economic components of socio-environmental systems, revealing direct and indirect impacts of potential policies.3VS modeling was piloted in the Narragansett Bay watershed, where nitrogen pollution degrades water quality. The model used watershed-specific data and stakeholder input to explore environmental and socioeconomic impacts of nutrient management strategies. This model demonstrated how the 3VS approach can engage stakeholders to think strategically about how policy alternatives can impact the food-energy-water nexus at a system level.The 3V framework is also being applied to assess land-use change on the Delmarva Peninsula, where stakeholders are managing agriculture, urban, and conservation land uses to achieve social, economic, and environmental objectives. The model will consider how land-use policies and conservation influence public revenues and major resource-dependent sectors such as poultry production, commercial seafood, and tourism