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Climate change impacts on extreme temperature mortality in select metropolitan areas of the United States
Citation:
Climate change impacts on extreme temperature mortality in select metropolitan areas of the United States. CLIMATIC CHANGE. Springer Netherlands, , Netherlands.
Impact/Purpose:
Paper part of CIRA project in special journal issue
Description:
Projected mortality from climate change-driven impacts on extremely hot and cold days increases significantly over the 21st century in a large group of United States Metropolitan Statistical Areas. Increases in projected mortality from more hot days are greater than decreases in mortality from less cold days. Results also show a policy controlling future greenhouse gas emissions could provide substantial health benefits, which become more pronounced with projected population changes. The increase in net projected mortality from changes in hot and cold extreme temperature days stands in contrast to arguments that there could be a net mortality benefit from future warming. While our results do not account for future adaptation, their scale and scope suggest that successful notification and response programs for extreme temperature days, especially for extremely hot days, could yield significant health benefits.
