US FRESHWATER RESOURCES IN THE COMING DECADES: AN INTEGRATED CLIMATE-HYDROLOGIC MODELING STUDY
Impact/Purpose:
The proposed research will quantify the potential changes in the hydrologic
states (snow, soil moisture, groundwater level, river flow, wetland extent) and fluxes
(precipitation, evapotranspiration, surface runoff, water table recharge, stream baseflow) across N.
America, over the next decades (2008-2050).
Description:
The outcome is a dynamically and nationally
consistent assessment of the range of potential changes in the hydrologic states (snow, soil
moisture, groundwater level, river flow, wetland extent) and fluxes (precipitation, evapotranspiration,
surface runoff, water table recharge, stream baseflow), for the nation over the next
decades. National maps of trends, regional and sub-regional time series of key hydrologic
variables, and state maps of potential wetland loss and gain, are among the final products.
Potential changes in water quantity and flow regimes are key physical drivers of and can directly
be applied to the assessment of water quality and ecosystem impacts.
Record Details:
Record Type:PROJECT(
ABSTRACT
)
Start Date:08/01/2009
Completion Date:07/31/2012
Record ID:
251000
Keywords:
WATER RESOURCES, GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, REGIONAL CLIMATE DOWNSCALING, WATER CYCLE MODELING,
Related Organizations:
Role
:OWNER
Organization Name
:RUTGERS SUNJ
Mailing Address
:610 Taylor Road
Citation
:Piscataway
State
:NJ
Zip Code
:8854
Project Information:
Approach
:The proposed research will be carried out in 3 steps. In step-1 we will simulate
the observed hydrologic changes over the past 30yrs over N. America using a coupled climate hydrology
model, RAMS-Hydro, developed at Rutgers in recent years, in order to test the model’s
ability to produce the observed changes in the past. In step-2, we will downscale global climate
model (GCM) projections over the next 42yrs using the full RAMS-Hydro, for two carbon
emission scenarios and using multiple model configurations. In step-3, we will infer potential
changes in freshwater wetlands in response to the simulated hydrologic change.
Cost
:$769,065.00
Research Component
:Ecological Indicators/Assessment/Restoration
Approach
:The proposed research will be carried out in 3 steps. In step-1 we will simulate
the observed hydrologic changes over the past 30yrs over N. America using a coupled climate hydrology
model, RAMS-Hydro, developed at Rutgers in recent years, in order to test the model’s
ability to produce the observed changes in the past. In step-2, we will downscale global climate
model (GCM) projections over the next 42yrs using the full RAMS-Hydro, for two carbon
emission scenarios and using multiple model configurations. In step-3, we will infer potential
changes in freshwater wetlands in response to the simulated hydrologic change.
Cost
:$769,065.00
Research Component
:Global Climate Change
Approach
:The proposed research will be carried out in 3 steps. In step-1 we will simulate
the observed hydrologic changes over the past 30yrs over N. America using a coupled climate hydrology
model, RAMS-Hydro, developed at Rutgers in recent years, in order to test the model’s
ability to produce the observed changes in the past. In step-2, we will downscale global climate
model (GCM) projections over the next 42yrs using the full RAMS-Hydro, for two carbon
emission scenarios and using multiple model configurations. In step-3, we will infer potential
changes in freshwater wetlands in response to the simulated hydrologic change.
Cost
:$769,065.00
Research Component
:Water and Watersheds
Project IDs:
ID Code
:R834190
Project type
:EPA Grant