You are here:
Evaluating the Effects of Climate Change on Summertime Ozone using a Relative Response Factor approach for Policy Makers
Citation:
AVISE, J. C., R. G. Abraham, S. H. Chung, J. Chen, B. LAMB, E. SALATHE, Y. Zhang, C. G. NOLTE, D. H. LOUGHLIN, A. GUENTHER, C. WIEDINMYER, AND T. Duhl. Evaluating the Effects of Climate Change on Summertime Ozone using a Relative Response Factor approach for Policy Makers. JOURNAL OF THE AIR & WASTE MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION. Air & Waste Management Association, Pittsburgh, PA, 62(9):1061-1074, (2012).
Impact/Purpose:
The National Exposure Research Laboratory′s (NERL′s) Atmospheric Modeling and Analysis Division (AMAD) conducts research in support of EPA′s mission to protect human health and the environment. AMAD′s research program is engaged in developing and evaluating predictive atmospheric models on all spatial and temporal scales for forecasting the Nation′s air quality and for assessing changes in air quality and air pollutant exposures, as affected by changes in ecosystem management and regulatory decisions. AMAD is responsible for providing a sound scientific and technical basis for regulatory policies based on air quality models to improve ambient air quality. The models developed by AMAD are being used by EPA, NOAA, and the air pollution community in understanding and forecasting not only the magnitude of the air pollution problem, but also in developing emission control policies and regulations for air quality improvements.
Description:
The impact of climate change on surface level ozone is examined through a multi-scale modeling effort that linked global and regional climate models to drive air quality model simulations. Results are quantified in terms of the Relative Response Factor (RRFE), which estimates the relative change in peak ozone concentration for a given change in pollutant emissions (the subscript E is added to RRF to remind the reader that the RRF is due to emission changes only). A matrix of model simulations was conducted to examine the individual and combined effects of future anthropogenic emissions, biogenic emissions, and climate on the RRFE. For each member in the matrix of simulations the warmest and coolest summers were modeled for the present-day (1995-2004) and future (2045-2054) decades.
URLs/Downloads:
Evaluating the Effects of Climate Change on Summertime Ozone using a Relative Response Factor approach for Policy Makers (PDF, NA pp, 9385 KB, about PDF)Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association
