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FORECASTING REGIONAL TO GLOBAL PLANT MIGRATION IN RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
Citation:
NEILSON, R. P., L. F. PITELKA, A. M. SOLOMON, R. NATHAN, G. F. MIDGLEY, J. M. FRAGOSO, H. LISCHKE, AND K. THOMPSON. FORECASTING REGIONAL TO GLOBAL PLANT MIGRATION IN RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE. BIOSCIENCE. American Institute of Biological Sciences, MCLEAN, VA, 55(9):749-759, (2005).
Impact/Purpose:
To improve forecasts about climate change and plant migration
Description:
The rate of future climate change is likely to exceed the migration rates of most plant species. The replacement of dominant species by locally rare species may require decades, and extinctions may occur when plant species cannot migrate fast enough to escape the consequences of climate change. Theories about climate change and migration are limited by inadequate data for key processes at short and long time scales and at small and large spatial scales. These theories must be enhanced to incorporate species-level migration and succession processes into a more comprehensive definition of PFTs.