Global environmental changes: anticipating and assessing risks to health / A.J. McMichael and P. Martens -- Historical connections between climate, medical thought and human health / A.G. Carmichael and M. Fleming Moran -- The contribution of global environmental factors to ill-health / K.R. Smith and M. Desai -- Surprise, nonlinearity and complex behavior / T. Awerbuch, A.E. Kiszewski and R. Levins -- Epidemilogic and impacts assessment methods / K.L. Ebi and J.A. Patz -- Retrospective studies: analogue approaches describing climate variability and health / R.S. Kovats and M. Bouma -- Detecting the infectious disease consequences of climate change and extreme weather events / P.R. Epstein -- Integrated assessment modelling of human health impacts / P. Martens, J. Rotmans and D. Rothman -- Remote sensing, GIS, and spatial statistics: powerful tools for landscape epidemiology / L.R. Beck, U. Kitron and M.R. Bobo -- Monitoring the health impacts of global climate change / D.H. Campbell-Lendrum, P. Wilkinson, K. Kuhn, R.S. Kovats, A. Haines, B. Menne and T.W. Parr -- Epidemiology, environmental health and global change / A. Woodward -- Dealing with scientific uncertainties / T.O. Riordan and A.J. McMichael.